Daughtridge Retail Case Study
Customer case study
How Daughtridge Retail found the cause of a hidden volume decline
Volume was slipping and no report could say why. Tony asked a sharper question and found the loss hiding in one overnight window.
- CompanyDaughtridge Retail
- LeaderTony, VP
Before
“Volume is slipping. We don't know why.”
After
Every report said things were fine
Fuel volume at Daughtridge was falling month over month, but every usual check came back clean. Most teams would have waited another month. Tony didn't.
Figure 1
What the usual checks showed
What Tony's team saw when volume started slipping
Pricing
Unchanged
Foot traffic
Normal
Back-office reports
No cause found
Fuel volume
Falling
Three green lights, one red one, and nothing to connect them.
So Tony asked Cortex AI
Break down fuel volume by time of day for September, compare it to last year, and tell us exactly where we're losing volume.
The answer: one overnight window
Cortex broke the day into time windows and compared each one to last September. Three were steady. One wasn't.
Figure 2
Fuel volume by time of day
Average gallons per day, September 2025 → September 2026
- !1 AM - 5 AM620 → 390Down 37%
- ✓5 AM - 9 AM890 → 885Steady
- ✓9 AM - 5 PM3,100 → 3,080Steady
- ✓5 PM - 12 AM2,200 → 2,195Steady
Where the volume went
−37%between 1 and 5 AM
The 12-1 AM hour was not included in the source breakdown.
A new neighbor, and a plan to win back the night
A new 24-hour site had opened down the road six weeks before the decline began. Once Tony's team could see it, they aimed every move at the hours they were losing.
Figure 3
The cause, and the response
One specific cause, four moves aimed at it
Tony's response, all aimed at 1 - 5 AM
- Win backOvernight promotions
Fuel offers for the 1 - 5 AM window
- RewardDouble loyalty points
For late-night fill-ups and repeat visits
- CompeteTargeted pricing
Pricing built to recapture overnight volume
- WatchHourly volume alerts
Catch the next shift before habits set in
Leadership takeaway
The instinct behind it
Tony wouldn't accept “no clear reason” and kept asking until the answer was specific enough to act on. That is what forward-looking independents are doing, and we're proud to work alongside him.
Wondering what might be hiding in your own numbers?
We'd be glad to share what we're seeing across independent operators.